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Precipitation and Flash Flood Prediction from Minutes to Days

Oct 5 – 7, 2020
Online
Europe/Berlin timezone

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Session

Towards seamless prediction

M1
Oct 5, 2020, 9:00 AM
Online

Online

Conveners

Towards seamless prediction: Towards seamless prediction

  • Roland Potthast (DWD)

Description

TBD

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  1. 1. Introduction
    Roland Potthast (DWD)
    10/5/20, 9:00 AM
    Oral presentation
  2. 69. The High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) numerical weather prediction model
    David Turner (NOAA Global Systems Laboratory)
    10/5/20, 9:20 AM
    Oral presentation

    The HRRR model is an operational storm-scale numerical weather prediction forecast system that has been updated approximately every 2 years since it was first introduced in 2014. This seminar gives a brief update on the evolution of the HRRR, with a focus of what is new for version 4 which will become the operational model in December 2020. I will also give an update of the future of...

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  3. 74. SINFONY - the combination of Nowcasting and Numerical Weather Prediction on the convective scale at DWD
    Ulrich Blahak (DWD)
    10/5/20, 10:00 AM
    Oral presentation

    There are different "optimal" forecast methods for different forecast lead times and different weather phenomena. Focusing on precipitation and convective events up to some hours ahead, radar extrapolation techniques (Nowcasting) show good skill up to about 2 h ahead (depending on the situation), while numerical weather prediction (NWP) outperforms Nowcasting only at later hours. Ensembles of...

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  4. 62. The research group on Near-Realtime Quantitative Precipitation Estimation and Prediction (RealPEP)
    Silke Trömel (University of Bonn, Institute for Geosciences - Section Meteorology)
    10/5/20, 11:00 AM
    Oral presentation

    The RealPEP research group funded by the German Research Foundation (DFG) was established at the beginning of 2019 and motivated by the prediction of floods especially in small to meso-scale catchments to mitigate risks to society and ecosystems.
    RealPEP addresses the full process chain from Quantitative Precipitation Estimation (QPE), Quantitative Precipitation Nowcasting (QPN), Quantitative...

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  5. 6. Moderated Discussion
    10/5/20, 11:40 AM
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